Tag Archives: Bill Meridian

Market Correction Conversation

It’s time for a market correction.

That’s what we began to understand a few days ago.

We were looking at the potential impact of the Zeus retrograde station.

It clearly suggested that we were about to see a definitive trading top.

And as a top became more clearly expressed in the trading action this week, we began to see the bigger picture.

A market correction is on the way.

Defining A Market Correction

So what’s a market correction?

In a general sense, it’s a major price pull-back from a market that’s been in an extended rally.

Prices head lower.

But the question is, how much lower?

Loosely speaking a market correction is a move to the downside that’s big enough to get your attention.

It’s big enough to make you feel pretty uncomfortable, especially if you’re holding long positions in the market, and are hoping that higher prices are ahead instead.

But according to some respected market technicians, a market correction should be much more precisely defined.

To qualify, a sell-off in the market has to bring a move to the downside of at least 10 percent, measuring from its most recent peak.

10 PERCENT MARKET CORRECTION

Under the current circumstances, that “most recent peak” was the all-time record high for the S&P 500, at 3337.77, which was set intraday on Wednesday, January 22.

That means that a real market correction now would be a drop of 333.78, for an ultimate price target of 3003.99.

Is A Correction On The Way?

A drop of 333.78 points is a pretty big move, whether or not a Zeus retrograde station is involved.

But even so, it’s entirely possible.

In fact, during the trading action on Friday the S&P 500 gave up 44 points during the course of the trading day, and then closed at 3295.47, off more than 30 points for the session.

That big plunge took place just after I had joined Larry Pesavento for conversation about the potential for a correction in equities.

We got together on his Trade What You See program on TFNN.

Astro-Cycles 2020 January-March
Transneptunian factors mark key turning points in the projections for astro-cycles in the first quarter of 2020.

During our chat we discussed this astro-cycle chart that I had featured on page 1 of a recent Financial Cycles Weekly newsletter.

It highlights the potential power of transneptunian stations in setting up a potential correction between now and the middle of February, with a likely rebound after that.

And as is usually the case, Larry seemed particularly intrigued by the influence of the transneptunians. He shared a great story about encountering them with Bill Meridian and Alphee Lavoie in Singapore.

Our conversation was brief; you can hear it all in this video from Larry’s show:

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Top 10 Again for FinancialCyclesWeekly.com

We’re in the Top 10 again.

Our market timing has consistently been quite accurate.

That’s been going on for a number of years.

Our regular subscribers at FinancialCyclesWeekly.com can attest to that.

So can Timer Digest.

Tim Bost Cover Timer Digest Top 10
The market service at FinancialCyclesWeekly.com and editor Tim Bost have been the subjects of special features in Timer Digest several times in recent years, and consistently rank in that publication’s Top 10 lists of market timers.

Timer Digest ranks forecasters and market timers from across the spectrum.

It tracks over 100 separate services.

That includes fundamental analysts.

It includes technical analysts.

It even includes folks like me – astrologers who use planetary cycles to time the markets.

That’s a broad mix.

But most of all, the Timer Digest listings feature many well-known experts.

They’re the cream of the crop.

So it’s a particular honor to get recognition in this prestigious publication.

Multiple Top 10 Lists

But Timer Digest doesn’t just pick winning forecasters and timing services.

They break their listings down into four categories.

First there are the Stock Market Timers. Those rankings are based on performance in forecasting the stock market during the last year, the last six months, and the last three months.

There’s a Top 10 list for each of those time frames.

Next there are the Gold Timers. That listing includes the Top 5 forecasters for the yellow metal.

The Bond Timers also get their own Top 5 list.

And finally there’s the listing of Long-Term Stock Market Timers. It features a ranking of the Top 10 market forecasters looking at mega-trends, the long-wave cycles that move the markets over many years.

Where We Show Up

We focus primarily on the stock market here at FinancialCyclesWeekly.com. And because we pay a lot of attention to outer-planet cycles and transneptunians, we provide a long-term perspective as we as comments on more immediate market moves.

That’s what has earned us recognition in the Long-Term Stock Market Timing category at Timer Digest. We’ve had a place on that Top 10 for over five years now.

Needless to say, we don’t show up in the rankings for Gold or Bond timing at all.

But our work has also merited a place in the Top 10 list for current Stock Market Timers on occasion as well.

In fact, in 2017 we ended up in a tie for first place in the rankings, so we shared in the recognition as Timer of the Year.

Current Rankings

My outlook for 2020 as a whole was included in the December 16, 2019 issue of Timer Digest (the annual forecast issue). As usual, we were ranked in the Top 10 Long-Term Timers. But we got an extra honor – the Number 10 ranking on the overall Top 10 list, based on forecasting performance from December 13, 2018 through December 13, 2019.

By the time the next issue of Timer Digest arrived on January 2, we had moved up to the Number 8 spot on that list. Running from December 31, 2018 through December 31, 2019, it recorded the best performers for the entire calendar year.

And then earlier this week, we got the most recent issue of the magazine, published on January 20, 2020. We’re now at Number 6 on the list of Top 10 Timers for the year, from January 17, 2019 through January 17, 2020.

And that’s not all.

Also in the January 20 issue, we popped in at Number 10 in the list of the top market timers for the past six months, from July 17, 2019 through January 17, 2020.

Does it feel good to get this kind of recognition for our work?

Of course it does!

But here’s the strange part.

As much as I enjoy the honors, I’m personally really not terribly competitive.

I’m not striving to beat anybody else. I’m not pushing to be Number 1.

What really pleases me is the fact that financial astrologers and astro-traders consistently find their way into the top rankings at Timer Digest. That not only includes me, but also friends and colleagues like Bill Meridian, Arch Crawford, Barry Rosen, and Manfred Zimmel.

Together, we’re advancing an important aggregate notion: if you want to succeed in the markets, it really pays to have the astro-trading advantage.

I think that’s something to be proud of!

It Sounds Cool, That’s For Sure!

“It certainly sounds cool. That’s for sure!’

That’s what Larry Pesavento said yesterday after our interview.

We had gotten together for a conversation on his TFNN program, Trade What You See.

Our main focus was bitcoin.

We examined the crytocurrency from three astro-trading perspectives.

First I reviewed the planetary price line structures currently defining the bitcoin trading action.

After that I shared by updated astro-cycle projections for bitcoin. Our latest work focused more closely on the impact of shorter-term cycles. That’s because we have a short trading history to work with.

This is the kind of cycles research that went into our book on Bitcoin Astrology.

Finally, after the commercial break, Larry and I discussed the impact of Mercury retrograde stations on the price of bitcoin.

This is a particularly powerful astro-trading trigger. It not only sounds cool to connect bitcoin rallies with Mercury stations. It’s also verified by our back-testing!

Along the way, there were some great questions from listeners to the show. It’s really wonderful to have such an interactive audience!

In response to those questions, we also chatted about current stock market conditions.

But the biggest item of curiosity was the role of transneptunian factors in astro-trading.

It Certainly Sounds Cool

We had a chance to discuss some of the background of the transneptunians and their amazing role in astrology. The move from the pre-World War II Hamburger Schule to the post-war presentation of the knowledge as Uranian Astrology is interesting.

And Larry commented that Bill Meridian had rectified his time of birth. Bill used the transneptunian planets to fine-tune his calculations in coming up with a precise birth time for Larry.

All that discussion added up to Larry’s observation that while the transneptunian factors may be challenging to understand, “it certainly sounds cool.”

This video replay features the complete interview from October 25.

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Bitcoin Rally Revives Bullish Fever

Thanks to the current bitcoin rally, the cryptocurrency world in general is getting lots of attention.

There’s been a resurgence of bullish interest in bitcoin during recent weeks.

A lot of bullish interest.

The fabled cryptocurrency has surged to new highs, hitting price levels not seen for the past 10 months.

It’s now trading well above $8,000.

In fact, as this is being written it’s just topped $8,600!

A Fresh Bitcoin Rally

What’s behind the sudden frenzy creating a fresh bitcoin rally?

According the Michael Hartnett, the chief investment strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, the dramatic move to the upside is a signal that global recession fears are growing steadily.

The bitcoin rally could in fact be an indication that we’re experiencing a massive and precipitous collapse of confidence in the world’s governments and in the core structure of the international financial system.

But Hartnett theorizes that global investors are investing in bitcoin not because they believe it is a safe haven asset in times of uncertainty and instability.

He says it’s because they are looking for high-risk, high-reward investments.

He argues that low interest rates on bond yields since the financial collapse in 2008 has left investors starved of profits, sending them into a global “greed trade” across corporate, emerging market, and crypto securities.

Dystopian Loss of Faith

Hartnett’s analysis resonates with a comment earlier this year by John Normand, JPMorgan’s head of cross-asset fundamental strategy.

He noted that “We have long been skeptical of cryptocurrencies’ value in most environments other than a dystopian one characterized by a loss of faith in all major reserve assets (dollar, euro, yen, gold) and in the payments system.”

Dystopian is a strong word, but with the broad economic implications of the Trump-China trade war it may not be inappropriate.

Tim Bost with New Book

From an astrological perspective, however, the surge in bitcoin prices is not too surprising. In the Bitcoin Astrology book (which I co-authored with Bill Meridian, Goncalo Moreira, Christeen Skinner and Wendy Stacey), there’s a note (on page 112) of a winning bitcoin trading strategy.

It’s a particularly bullish solar cycle.

It currently has a track record of successfully predicting a bitcoin rally 86 percent of the time.

That bullish solar transit has been in play since late April.

It continued through the trading week just behind us.

And this last time around, it brought a boost in the price of bitcoin of roughly 52%!

Mars-Hades bitcoin rally

Coming up next, we expect to see a significant impact on bitcoin from the Mars/Hades conjunction on May 27.

As our back-testing chart shows, we can expect this planetary combination to bring about three weeks of congested trading.

That’s likely to be followed by another surge triggering a fresh bitcoin rally.

The zodiac position of this Mars/Hades conjunction is also worth noting; we’ve pointed to it on the 90º dial for the bitcoin inception horoscope.

Midpoint Triggers

It triggers the following midponts:

Mars/Admetos [a sinking market]

Mercury/Saturn [price excursions]

Mercury/Uranus [exciting news]

Uranus/Apollon [expansion by leaps and bounds]

Jupiter/Hades [a shortage of money but good luck in black market dealings].

Based on those planetary activations, we can certainly expect to see plenty of bitcoin trading excitement during the months ahead!

New Book Arrival

Our new book has arrived!

Bitcoin Astrology is now officially in print.

The first copies have just arrived from the printing company, and I must say I’m impressed with the way the new book looks.

And it feels good to have a physical copy in my hands!

A New Book With New Ideas

Of course, the new book is also packed with great information. You’ll find plenty of great new ideas, too!

I’m particularly grateful for the contributions made by my co-authors – Bill Meridian, Goncalo Moreira, Christeen Skinner and Wendy Stacey.

Bill takes a look at a key transneptunian factor in bitcoin price trends. He’s also shared some his sunspot cycle perspectives on this blog in the past.

Goncalo is an expert at technical analysis. He uses Elliott Wave analysis and point-and-figure charting to add some keen forecasting perspectives.

Christeen brings her considerable expertise as a mundane astrologer to bear in looking at outer planet cycles and development of this new cryptocurrency.

And Wendy adds a long-term perspective with specific dates she’s looking for as critical points in future bitcoin trading action.

Trading Strategies and Key Horoscope Charts

You’ll also find tips on five astrological strategies for trading bitcoin. On top of that, you’ll get the facts on key solar cycles and planetary signals for bitcoin highs and lows.

This new book also features more than fifty horoscope charts for key events in the history and development of bitcoin.

You’ll find the charts for major events within the blockchain itself, of course.

But you’ll also find records of arrests and court decisions, magazine articles and bankruptcies, and a whole lot more.

You’ll get an important sense of the historical flow of bitcoin when you look at these remarkable horoscopes.

I think you’ll really be surprised at some of them!

In short, Bitcoin Astrology is truly an incredible value. You’ll want to have it handy if you’re looking at trading bitcoin

You’ll also want a copy if you just want to explore alternative economic realities in the 21st century.

You can get your copy now on Amazon.com – or you can go directly to the publisher and order there.

When you read it, be sure to post a review on Amazon. Then leave your comments here!

Sunspot Activity & The Economy

Link Between Economic Activity and Sunspots Confirmed

sunspot activity
A gigantic sunspot – almost 80,000 miles across –can be seen on the lower center of the sun in this image from NASA’s Solar Dynamic Observatory captured on Oct. 23, 2014. This article by Bill Meridian reviews the connections between sunspot activity and the economy.
Image Credit: NASA/SDO

 

“Solar activity as measured by the number of sunspots also adds to the explanation of the probability of a recession.”

A Guest Post by Bill Meridian

Cycles Research

Once again, scholastic research has confirmed the link between planetary activity and the economy here on earth.

In the Global Conference on Business and Finance Proceedings, Volume 7, Number 2, from 2012, there is an article linking changes in the economy to sunspots. Cees J. Prins wrote ‘Solar Activity and Economic Recessions: The Case Of The US.’

Direct and Indirect Influences on the Economy

The author concluded, “The probability of a recession taking place depends on many variables. When the interest rate spread between 10 years government bonds and 3 months Treasury Bills is negative a recession is imminent. Also stock prices can give valuable information with predicting power. Solar activity as measured by the number of sunspots also adds to the explanation of the probability of a recession. In the 3 models that are estimated for 6 time periods the number of sunspots is always very significant. The sun has direct and indirect influences on the economy. To the first category belong damages to electronic networks. The indirect effects are the influences on human emotions and in the end also to the economy.”

One of the most dramatic events associated with sunspot activity is a solar flare, which can create electromagnetic phenomena that disrupt communications on Earth.
One of the most dramatic events associated with sunspot activity is a solar flare, which can create electromagnetic phenomena that disrupt communications on Earth.

Forecasting Recessions with Sunspot Activity

In his work, Prins took several variables and determined their value in forecasting recessions. He began with the inverted yield curve (short-term rates higher than long-term rates) because it is well known that this situation has led to a recession each time it has occurred.

He added variables such as stock prices, the leading indicators of the OECD and The Conference Board, the gold price, the oil price, new building permits, new job creation, corporate rate spreads, long-term rate spreads, and sunspots.

The inverted yield curve, stock market returns, and sunspots were the consistent variables in economic forecasting.

In his words, “It is clear that the model has one interesting and significant long term variable: the number of sunspots.” And, “The number of sunspots, as an indication of the activity of the sun, appeared to be a highly significant variable in explanation of a recession during all the periods investigated.”

Sunspot Activity Leads The Pack

It is noteworthy that only one traditional variable, inverted rates, consistently exceeded sunspots as a forecasting tool. Sunspots led all of the other traditional tools.

 

About The Author

Our guest post is by Bill MeBill_Meridianridian, a leading financial astrologer who is the editor of Cycles Research newsletter and the author of Planetary Stock Trading (4th edition) and The Predictive Power of Eclipse Paths.

You can learn more about Bill Meridian and his services and publications at http://billmeridian.com/

Market Rally Midpoint Action

When I commented yesterday on the big market rally, I left something out.

I was focused on the impact of this week’s Uranus/Pluto waxing square on Janet Yellen’s natal horoscope.

I neglected to mention an important transiting dynamic.

A Market Rally Alignment

The Sun was square the Juipiter/Apollon midpoint as the market rally was in full swing.

My friend Bill Sarubbi (known to many as Bill Meridian, author of The Predictive Power of Eclipse Paths and other essential works on astro-trading) pointed out the omission.

I’m truly grateful that he brought it to my attention.

Some years ago it was Bill, along with Charles Emerson and Gary Christen, who encouraged me to look at the Transneptunian factors like Apollon in my astrological work.

Arch Crawford also helped push me in that direction.

Even though I resisted the notion of “hypothetical planets” at first, I finally gave it a look.

I’ve been hooked ever since.

The Transneptunians can indeed add important information to our astrological interpretations. And because they are slow-moving, even generational in their influence, they’re especially useful in mundane astrology and macro-economic considerations.

Apollon is the Transneptunian factor that’s connected with global expansion, the growth of science and technology, commercial activity, and the spreading of influence far and wide.

In combination with Jupiter, it’s a classic indicator of big money. That can be expressed in individual wealth or in the capitalization of a major corporation.

It can also mean a market rally.

What Alfred Witte Said

The comments of Alfred Witte, who literally wrote the book on Transneptunian influences, certainly support the idea of a market rally getting triggered by Jupiter/Apollon action.

(You can read Witte’s remarks on the subject in this article on “What Witte Said About The Sun At The Jupiter/Apollon Midpoint”).

What’s even more interesting, though, is what we can learn by back-testing the effects of eighth-harmonic solar alignments with the Jupiter/Apollon midpoint.

This chart shows the tendency toward a market rally after this alignment. It’s based on the events that took place over the last 30 years. But it doesn’t include the Sun’s square to the Jupiter/Apollon midpoint yesterday.

SunJupiterApollon Market Rally
When the Sun hits the Jupiter/Apollon midpoint, it can trigger a market rally in large-cap equities.

As you can see, the idea of the Sun in contact with the transiting Jupiter/Apollon midpoint being connected with a market rally doesn’t look too bad.

A Caution About Predicting A Market Rally

Even so, it’s important not to jump to conclusions. Although the impact of the Sun’s square to the Jupiter/Apollon midpoint was certainly evident in the market rally this week, it doesn’t happen all the time.

In fact, a market rally fails to materialize most of the time.

Remember that we get eight eighth-harmonic alignments of the Sun to the Jupiter/Apollon midpoint each year.

While they do in fact bring stock prices up on average, we don’t see a market rally of historical proportions each time they occur.

Note as well that the average pop in the S&P after a solar contact with the Jupiter/Apollon midpoint tends to be about one-third of one percent.

That’s nothing like the market rally we’ve seen in the past couple of days!

 

How About Some Good Old Hyperinflation?

More money for everybody!

That was the “selling point” that author Mark Dice used recently when he tried to get people to sign a tongue-in-cheek petition urging the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department to increase inflation to 100 percent a year.

The surprising– and disturbing-  result was that most people were more than willing to add their names to the list, displaying either a complete ignorance of what inflation really is, or a complete obliviousness to the devastating effects of hyperinflation.

Dice does have an axe to grind. As a conspiracy theorist, he writes about the evil influences of the Illuminati and international banking forces, and he’s out to demonstrate just how much their propaganda has turned the general populace into uninformed zombies who are willing to go along with any kind of ludicrous scheme, as long as it promises economic improvement.

Thanks are due to financial astrologer Bill Meridian, who shared a link to this YouTube video showing Dice in action, collecting signatures for a bogus pro-hyperinflation nonprofit group: