Tag Archives: bull market

Fearless Forecast 2017

A market forecast for 2017?

About a month ago I got just such a request from Timer Digest.

They wanted to know my forecast for the coming year, in terms of what I was anticipating for action in the stock market.

Using The Dow As A Measurement

They wanted things spelled out with specific numbers for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. While I don’t necessarily agree that it’s the best market measurement to use, I went along with the plan.

Here’s what I told Timer Digest:

The General Trend Forecast

We’re anticipating a bullish year in 2017.

We expect to see congested trading from the first of the year through mid-February, followed by an aggressive rally into mid-May.

A well-defined trading range should dominate the summer months, with repeated tests of a stubborn resistance zone.

By late August a fairly sharp sell-off should come into play, lasting until late October.

We anticipate steady bullishness at the end of the year to set new record highs by the close of 2017.

Specific Targets In The Dow

We have a DJIA target of 20605 at the end of the first quarter, 2017.

By mid-year we expect to see the DJIA trading at 22788.

Our target closing price for the DJIA at the end of 2017 is 23823.

A Shameless Plug For Financial Astrology

We base our 2017 forecast on cycles studies and our assessment of the planetary dynamics throughout the year, especially the lunar nodal cycle and the solar eclipses in February and August.

We expect the August solar eclipse to have a particularly strong impact on raw materials and infrastructure concerns, creating short-term market disruption followed by fresh opportunities.

Tim Bost Forecast Cover Timer Digest
The market forecast and trading service at FinancialCyclesWeekly.com and editor Tim Bost were the subject of a special feature in Timer Digest on March 9, 2015

In Retrospect

Right now, as we look ahead to the actual trading results we’ll be getting in 2017, I’m wondering if perhaps I didn’t stick my neck out a little too far with this forecast.

After all, those Dow numbers do seem pretty incredible.

Even so, I’m sticking by my forecast. If the cycle work I’ve done is even close to being correct, an insanely bullish trend is well within the realm of possibility, especially during the first half of the year.

We’ll just have to see what happens.

Astro-Trading Track Record Surges

As the closing bell rang on Thursday, December 31, a challenging year in the markets came to an end.

It left many traders more than ready for a long holiday weekend, with a good excuse for applying generous doses of intoxicants to the New Year’s Eve task of putting the turmoil of he past twelve months behind them.

Buy-and-Hold Strategy Fails Again

After all, 2015 was certainly not a good year for buy-and-hold investors.

The Blue Chips in the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded flat for much of the year before beginning a sharp sell-off at the Venus/Uranus trine in mid-August.

Dow Industrial 2015
The Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2015

The Dow followed that up by rebounding nicely in October, and then treading water for the remainder of the year.

The index finished the year with a loss of 2.23%.

A Do-Nothing Year For The S&P

The S&P 500 followed a similar pattern.

S&P 500 in 2015
The Standard and Poors 500 Index in 2015

It finished up the year with a surge of almost 4 percent immediately after the Winter Solstice. Then some uncertainty and profit-taking in the last two trading sessions in December brought it back down to a net loss of 0.73% for the year.

The Biggest Yearly Losses Since 2008

It was by far the worst annual performance for the equities market as a whole since the big bull market got underway in March, 2009.

While the 2015 spikes in market volatility in August and December opened up some good opportunities for short-term trading profits, it was nevertheless an extremely challenging years for most traders.

Applauding The Astro-Trading Track Record

The notable exceptions, of course, were the savvy traders who profited from the astro-trading advantage.

This included our Gold-Plus Elite members at FinancialCyclesWeekly.com.

Although we suffered a couple of plateaus in the growth of our equity line for the Financial Cycles Model Portfolio, the year as a whole was quite rewarding as a demonstration of the power of market astrology.

astro-trading track record 2015
The Astro-Trading Track Record for 2015 reveals a return of more than 34%.

Our Gold-Plus Elite members who traded along with our week-to-week program of stock selection, market analysis, and astrologically-based trading strategies saw a net return for the year of 34.20%.

A Strong Astro-Trading Track Record For 14 Years

The astro-trading track record that we compiled in 2015 may certainly seem remarkable compared to the mediocre performance of the market as a whole.

Astro-Trading Track Record through 201
Annual performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500 Index, and the Financial Cycles Weekly Model Portfolio, with its astro-trading track record of market out-performance.

But this year’s astro-trading track record was right in line with what we have come to expect after more than a decade of applying the principles of financial astrology to active trading in the stock market.

For the past 14 years our average annual ROI with this program has been 35.13%, compared to average annual gains of 5.32% for the Dow and 7.13% for the S&P 500.

While our past performance certainly can’t guarantee future results, it’s clear that this kind of consistent market out-performance is worth paying attention to.

In fact, if anybody makes negative comments about astrology in the markets, or questions the effectiveness of this approach as a trading methodology, just show them this review of the real astro-trading track record that we’ve put together, year after year after year!

Scary Optimism in the Markets

We’re seeing lots of attention in the news media, with plenty of front-page stories and lead features on broadcasts raving about the the record rally in the stock market.

This good news is bad news.

As any good market contrarian will tell you, the louder the praise gets for the new highs in the market, the more likely it is that a big crash is just around the corner.

So even though we’ve just finished up another winning month in the stock market, it’s time to get serious about the possibility of a plunge.

So what do you do when that happens?

One approach, of course, is just to pull all your money out of the market altogether, doing it right away while the getting’s good. Then you stick it under your mattress and wait for another bull market to come along some day.

The problem with that strategy is that your money isn’t making any money, and you don’t know how long you’ll have to sit on the sidelines. It definitely leaves something to be desired.

That’s why we’ve just finished up a new report, exploring an alternative strategy to dealing with the possibility of a big market decline.

It’s called Protecting Yourself in an Irrational Market. Its pretty concise (you can read the whole thing in about 15 or 20 minutes), but it’s packed with a practical strategy that can actually make you more money when the market heads south.

It’s available right now as an instant download – you’ll find details at http://bit.ly/protect13