Tag Archives: economy

Tides, Cycles and the Next Recession

Is the next recession coming soon?

The news underscores the uncertainty in the markets.

There are huge daily swings in the major market indices.

It means great opportunity for savvy traders who have nerves of steel.

But for most of us it’s very confusing – and maybe a little bit scary, too!

Protecting Your Wealth

Whether your financial goal is a comfortable retirement or a capital legacy, there are challenging times ahead.

The Next Recession

You don’t have to be a genius to see that there’s a high probability of a recession coming up.

But there are questions about the probability of a big downturn in the economy:

What about the next recession?

When is it likely to happen? Are we looking at months, or years?

How long will it last? Will it be just a passing phase that’s soon forgotten, or will we confront stubborn economic resistance for several years or more?

Just how big an impact will it have? Will we suffering badly, or will we eventually shrug it off as a minor inconvenience?

Those are some of the questions I’ve been pondering lately.

And I’ve actually had some quality time to do some pondering, which is incredibly important.

I’m in the middle of some down time on an island off the coast of South Carolina.

I’ve been getting some great rest, some wonderful food, good family company, and a great break from distractions.

So I’ve been looking at big picture concerns from a fresh perspective.

I’ve been watching tides, considering cycles, and contemplating the potential for another economic down turn.

Here’s a brief video that shares what I’ve been thinking about so far:


What do you think?

Does what I’m saying make any sense to you?

Have you got a personal story to tell about your experiences during a pulback in the economy?

Do you have specific ideas that might be helpful to others?

Leave me a comment, or share your own story here.

Other Videos In This Series:

2: Wealth Strategies: Partnerships

3: Wealth Strategies: Decision Making

4: Wealth Strategies: Health

5: Wealth Strategies: Emotional Resilience

 

Sunspot Activity & The Economy

Link Between Economic Activity and Sunspots Confirmed

sunspot activity
A gigantic sunspot – almost 80,000 miles across –can be seen on the lower center of the sun in this image from NASA’s Solar Dynamic Observatory captured on Oct. 23, 2014. This article by Bill Meridian reviews the connections between sunspot activity and the economy.
Image Credit: NASA/SDO

 

“Solar activity as measured by the number of sunspots also adds to the explanation of the probability of a recession.”

A Guest Post by Bill Meridian

Cycles Research

Once again, scholastic research has confirmed the link between planetary activity and the economy here on earth.

In the Global Conference on Business and Finance Proceedings, Volume 7, Number 2, from 2012, there is an article linking changes in the economy to sunspots. Cees J. Prins wrote ‘Solar Activity and Economic Recessions: The Case Of The US.’

Direct and Indirect Influences on the Economy

The author concluded, “The probability of a recession taking place depends on many variables. When the interest rate spread between 10 years government bonds and 3 months Treasury Bills is negative a recession is imminent. Also stock prices can give valuable information with predicting power. Solar activity as measured by the number of sunspots also adds to the explanation of the probability of a recession. In the 3 models that are estimated for 6 time periods the number of sunspots is always very significant. The sun has direct and indirect influences on the economy. To the first category belong damages to electronic networks. The indirect effects are the influences on human emotions and in the end also to the economy.”

One of the most dramatic events associated with sunspot activity is a solar flare, which can create electromagnetic phenomena that disrupt communications on Earth.
One of the most dramatic events associated with sunspot activity is a solar flare, which can create electromagnetic phenomena that disrupt communications on Earth.

Forecasting Recessions with Sunspot Activity

In his work, Prins took several variables and determined their value in forecasting recessions. He began with the inverted yield curve (short-term rates higher than long-term rates) because it is well known that this situation has led to a recession each time it has occurred.

He added variables such as stock prices, the leading indicators of the OECD and The Conference Board, the gold price, the oil price, new building permits, new job creation, corporate rate spreads, long-term rate spreads, and sunspots.

The inverted yield curve, stock market returns, and sunspots were the consistent variables in economic forecasting.

In his words, “It is clear that the model has one interesting and significant long term variable: the number of sunspots.” And, “The number of sunspots, as an indication of the activity of the sun, appeared to be a highly significant variable in explanation of a recession during all the periods investigated.”

Sunspot Activity Leads The Pack

It is noteworthy that only one traditional variable, inverted rates, consistently exceeded sunspots as a forecasting tool. Sunspots led all of the other traditional tools.

 

About The Author

Our guest post is by Bill MeBill_Meridianridian, a leading financial astrologer who is the editor of Cycles Research newsletter and the author of Planetary Stock Trading (4th edition) and The Predictive Power of Eclipse Paths.

You can learn more about Bill Meridian and his services and publications at http://billmeridian.com/

Should FOREX Traders Be Worried?

 

PhoneShockMoney

You don’t have to be a FOREX trader to know that something big is brewing in global currencies.

The Japanese yen has been in the spotlight as the Bank of Japan cranks up the printing presses and the economic news  continues to be turbulent.

The euro has been fighting hard to keep its head above water, but there’s still plenty of doubt about its longer-term stability.

Meanwhile, the US dollar has been looking pretty good. But just how long will that last, especially with China lurking in the background?

And just last week, some brand-new money hit the world stage, emerging from a completely unexpected source.

It’s obviously not an active factor in FOREX trading yet, but the astrology behind the event suggests that we need to take this newcomer very seriously!

I’ve been digging into the relevant horoscopes, and have really been amazed by what I’ve been seeing – this could wind up going far beyond FOREX, with a ripple effect that could be felt for years to come!

I’ll be sharing the details in a special webinar on Wednesday evening – hope you can join me for that free event:

How About Some Good Old Hyperinflation?

More money for everybody!

That was the “selling point” that author Mark Dice used recently when he tried to get people to sign a tongue-in-cheek petition urging the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department to increase inflation to 100 percent a year.

The surprising– and disturbing-  result was that most people were more than willing to add their names to the list, displaying either a complete ignorance of what inflation really is, or a complete obliviousness to the devastating effects of hyperinflation.

Dice does have an axe to grind. As a conspiracy theorist, he writes about the evil influences of the Illuminati and international banking forces, and he’s out to demonstrate just how much their propaganda has turned the general populace into uninformed zombies who are willing to go along with any kind of ludicrous scheme, as long as it promises economic improvement.

Thanks are due to financial astrologer Bill Meridian, who shared a link to this YouTube video showing Dice in action, collecting signatures for a bogus pro-hyperinflation nonprofit group: