Tag Archives: forecasts

Spot-On Stock Market Forecast

A spot-on stock market forecast doesn’t happen every day.

The truth is, I don’t even try to make a spot-on stock market forecast every day.

It’s not part of my regular agenda.

Oh sure, I’m in the forecasting business.

It’s part of the contributions I make to astro-trading education, as I watch market patterns and look for active trading opportunities.

I’ve spent much of the past five decades applying astrological tools to predicting future trends, in and out of the markets.

A lot of that work has been pretty accurate.

In fact, my forecasting skill earned me the top honors as the Timer of the Year from Timer Digest in 2017.

But although I’m frequently a guest on financial programs, it’s not always about what’s likely to be coming up next.  Forecasting is just part of the picture.

A Sneaky Kind of Event

Even so, there are times when a spot-on stock market forecast just sort of sneaks up on me.

I’ll get engaged in exploring a theory or explaining an idea, and all of a sudden I’ll spot a correlation or a hidden cycle that spontaneously opens up a fresh perception.

That new insight results in a precision forecast – and sometimes that forecast is actually right!

That’s what happened to me a few weeks ago, on Friday, October 16.

I was a guest that day on Larry Pesavento’s Trade What You See program on TFNN.

We talked about the upcoming presidential election., and the chances for Joe Biden and Donald Trump.

We also discussed the latest trends in the S&P 500.

My main focus was the potential impact of the Mercury retrograde period that had just gotten underway a few days before our conversation.

I noted that the direct station at the end of the retrograde period was likely to be a particularly sensitive time, both in and out of the markets.

Saturn sets up a spot-on stock market forecast

I also observed that when Mercury went direct, it would be making a powerful square to Saturn.

That observation led me to examine the previous times Saturn had been at the same position in the zodiac since the first of the year.

As it turned out, Saturn had  been at 26Capricorn 22 on February 12 and August 23.

On February 12 the S&P 500 closed its trading day at 3379.45.

August 23 was a Sunday, with the markets closed for the day. During the previous trading session, on Friday, August 21, the  S&P hit an intra-day low of 3379.31.

The Saturn Coincidence That Led To A Spot-On Stock Market Forecast

This interesting coincidence – and its clear correlation to Saturn positions – prompted me to suggest that we would see the S&P trading at 3379 once again, at the time of the Mercury direct station on November 3.

The Truth Is, I Was Really Sticking My Neck Out

Let’s put that forecast into perspective. When I was talking with Larry, just a few minutes after the opening bell on October 16, the S&P was trading at a much higher level.

In fact, the high on the previous trading day had been 3499.09.

So the S&P would have to drop by about 3.4% in order to hit my forecast target.

But the astrology looked pretty good, so I stuck with my forecast.

You can watch the complete video of my October 16  interview with Larry Pesavento here:

So the big question is, how accurate was this forecast?

What Was The Ultimate Result?

So did this end up being a spot-on stock market forecast?

Almost – just 25 minutes shy of the closing bell on the projected trading day.

Actually, I think that was close enough!

The Mercury station came just a few hours into the trading day on Tuesday, November 3, at 12:50 p.m. Eastern time.

During the previous trading day, on Monday, November 2, the S&P 500 hit a low of 3279.74 – a full 100 points lower than our projected price target of 3379.

Then, on November 3, the S&P gapped higher to start the trading day.

During the course of the trading day, it hit a high price of 3389.49. It closed at 3369.02.

And, at 3:35 p.m. on Tuesday, November 3, it traded at exactly 3379.20. That was 2 hours and 45 minutes after the precise Mercury direct station alignment.

In other words, it was a spot-on stock market forecast – thanks to the power of the astro-trading advantage!

Arch Crawford Talks War

Arch Crawford was the first thing Larry Pesavento mentioned when I joined him on his show yesterday.

Arch Crawford
Arch Crawford

“Tim,” he said, “we had one of your biggest fans on yesterday – Arch Crawford!”

I told Larry that I indeed consider Arch Crawford a dear friend.

He’s also one of the best-know financial astrologers.

But, Larry said, Arch told his audience that current astrological alignments point to to the possibility of war before the end of the month.

His latest forecast has been stirring up some very concerns.

That’s why Larry Pesavento had brought him on his Trade What You See program on TFNN the previous day. Arch had had an opportunity then to fill in some the details about what he’s seeing for the weeks ahead.

What Arch Crawford Had To Say

When Arch had been on Larry’s show on Wednesday, he warned of “hostility, terrorism and outright war” just ahead.

“This is a world condition,” he explained, “and as such it’s hard to determine who will and who will not be affected.

“It does touch our president’s horoscope chart, which increases the likelihood of US involvement.

“Neptune is highlighted, and there may be religious elements to certain areas of this turbulence, and perhaps drug connections as well to others.”

“These effects will likely take hold in the latter half of this month.

“This is not a joke!”

Do I Agree With This Forecast?

Quite naturally, Larry wanted to know if I agreed.

Does my own assessment match the view of Arch Crawford?

What’s really going on?

It was a great springboard for a very engaging conversation.

We not only talked about Arch and his forecasts.

We also discussed Y2K, bitcoin, and the current Mars alignments.

And we talked about current conditions in the stock market.

Here’s the entire interview segment:


 

Stock Market Trading Forecasts & Astrological Observations

I always appreciate our readers who take time to leave comments and suggestions when they connect with the posts on this blog.

There are many times when their comments get right to the point, expressing key concepts that I’ve been grappling with or adding some much-needed clarity and conciseness to our discussions of the role that planetary factors play in stock market trading.

But there are also times when our readers seem to get a little bit confused.

There are some occasions when they may be looking for market forecasts or astro-trading predictions about specific market directions, and then express their frustration that we sometimes look at market astrology in retrospect, rather than devoting all of our attention to dazzling market previews that provide precise price and time information ahead of schedule.

At other times they share complaints that the information we share is too vague or imprecise. For example, when we pointed out that Monday’s Neptune retrograde station coincided with 1951.03 in the S&P, it provoked some disagreement.

On the following trading day, when the S&P hit an intra-day high of 1950.79, we took it as a confirmation that Neptune was making its influence felt in the markets, but some of our readers seemed to think that this 0.24 point discrepancy was a demonstration of the fact that astro-trading techniques don’t work.

The fact that the Neptune station had actually nailed a trading top was confirmed in yesterday’s trading, of course, with equity prices pulling back and the S&P dropping to close at 1943.89. But even so, it didn’t signify an accurate forecast on my part— because I hadn’t specifically forecast a trading top with the Neptune station at all!

While I had repeatedly written and commented about the Neptune station in the weeks leading up to the event, and while I had pointed out that this particular planetary phenomenon has a back-tested track record for general bearishness, I didn’t really present that information as a prediction or market forecast.

Instead, I was trying to encourage our readers and other traders to watch the market reactions to the Neptune station– and that’s exactly what we were doing here when we observed the Neptune station price level in the S&P turning into firm resistance and establishing a trading top.

Don’t get me wrong– I do enjoy making market forecasts based on planetary phenomena, and I’m especially happy when those forecasts turn out to be accurate. But I also find it worthwhile just to step back and observe what’s going on in the markets from time to time, using those opportunities to learn a little more about the amazing correlations between cosmic cycles and the dynamics of stock market trading.