Tag Archives: France

Euro Bottom Just Ahead?

Are we facing a euro bottom?

Is this a good time to buy the currency?

While euro bottom questions are typically the concern of avid FOREX traders, this time the query came from a different source.

My step-daughter Jennifer was visiting us for a few days. We were relaxing with drinks on the patio overlooking the river.

Making Summer Plans

She was talking about her plans for the rest of the summer.

Jennifer and her husband will be spending most of July in France.

She loves vacationing there. And for this visit she’s already making a list of new things to check out.

Earlier that day she had popped in at a local coffee bar, and had struck up a conversation with the barista, who, it turned out, was a native Parisian.

By the time Jennifer had gotten her latte, she had also gotten a couple of suggestions about great restaurants to try in Paris.

She’s eager to check them out.

But, she asked me, what’s the outlook for the euro?

“The last time we went to France the exchange rate was really high,” she said. “I don’t remember the exact rate, but I do know it took a lot of dollars to get euros.”

Complicated Math

She shrugged.

“I got kind of confused with the math. So to keep things simple, I just doubled the money in my mind. If something cost 15 euro, I figured I was was really spending 30 dollars. That seemed to work out pretty well.”

That’s why she wanted to know about the current exchange rate.

When I told her that you could currently get one euro for about $1.12, she seemed quite pleased.

“That’s great!” she said. “Our money will go a lot farther this trip. But do you think it will stay low? I mean, should we be getting some euro now to plan ahead for our vacation?”

Looking At A Euro Bottom

I told her that I’d do a little research.

I started by running a cycle analysis based on the EUR/USD trading history. Here’s what I came up with:

euro bottom cycle chart

When I showed Jennifer that chart, she was quick to react. The euro bottom seemed pretty obvious.

“It definitely looks like the time to be buying euro,” she said.

I cautioned her that cycle projections are just that – projections.

“This is certainly not a guarantee that we’re at an absolute bottom now,” I said. “But it does look like prices will be going up from here.”

An Astro Confirmation

Later that day, as I was putting together some material for an upcoming webinar on Transneptunian effects, I decided to take a look at the historic impacts of Mars/Kronos conjunctions on the price of the euro.

We have a Mars/Kronos conjunction coming up on June 2nd.

The back-testing chart was quite revealing:

While the astrological back-testing doesn’t guarantee that a euro bottom is in any more than the cycle analysis does, it interesting to see.

It definitely suggests that this may indeed be a good time to go euro shopping.

A View From Greece

A lot of people have been checking out the video I linked to here on the banking crisis in Cyprus and its impacts on global finance, along with the astrological perspectives on the situation. You can see it for yourself at http://marketastrologer.realbusinessresults.com/?p=726.

One of the strongest comments has come from Dionisis Panagopoulos in Greece, who wrote to say that “The only solution for European union is Germany out of Euro and devaluation of euro currency 50% down.

“Otherwise,” he said, “the fascism is coming.

“Greece was yesterday – Cyprus today. Who is next?

“Germany is the problem for EU. Not the other nations.

“FRANCE – ITALY – SPAIN YOU HAVE THE POWER . YOU ARE ALMOST 300,000,000 PEOPLE. How your factory will begin again producing? Only after devaluation of euro and only if Germany has got other currency in order to buy yours product. Not euro.”

While Angela Merkel isn’t likely to agree with Dionisis, his comment certainly underscores the big potential impact of the events in Cyprus. Remember that the astrological picture that lies ahead doesn’t look particularly promising.

Remember, too, that astrological indicators have given us advance warning all along about the emerging European crisis. In fact, it’s been more than three years since I posted this video about how the deteriorating financial circumstances in Greece had been triggered by a solar eclipse in 2009: